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Old 03-06-2017, 02:48 PM
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Default Analytics and trading recommendations by Tifia Forex Broker

There is analytics and trading recommendations from the company Tifia in this thread.

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Old 03-09-2017, 08:17 AM
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Default EuroStoxx50: on the eve of the ECB meeting _09/03/2017

Overview and dynamics
World and European stock indices are mostly declining on the eve of important events that will take place today and tomorrow. Tomorrow at 13:30 (GMT) will be published data on the labor market in the US for February. It is expected that the number of jobs increased in February by 190,000, while unemployment fell by 0.1% (to 4.7%). This will be the last important macro statistics before the March meeting of the Fed. Yesterday, strong data came from ADP, indicating a growth in the number of jobs in the private sector in the US in February at 298000 (against the forecast of +190000). The dollar rose in the market after the publication of the data.
Today, the attention of traders will be focused on the ECB meeting and the decision on the interest rate in the Eurozone (published at 12:45 GMT).
In order to accelerate the growth of inflation and support the economy of the Eurozone, the ECB has consistently lowered the basic interest rate (the refinancing rate for commercial banks) from 4.25% in 2008 to a record low current level (-0.4%). In addition, the ECB continues the QE program (quantitative easing) in the Eurozone, which is extended until the end of 2017, and since March is 60 billion euros a month. Until now, this has not led to the desired improvement in macroeconomic indicators and increased inflation (with the exception of the countries of the Eurozone with the most developed economy). The ECB will find it difficult to go in the current situation to curtail the QE program in the Eurozone, because Signs of economic recovery in the region, in general, are still weak. The ECB's inaction in the matter of monetary policy or a pronounced propensity to pursue a soft policy will put pressure on the euro and support European stock indices, including EuroStoxx50.
Euro volatility and European indices could rise sharply during the ECB press conference, which will begin at 13:30 (GMT).

Support and resistance levels
Since the beginning of the month, the EuroStoxx50 index is trading in the range, basically, between the levels of 3400.0, 3372.0. Today, in anticipation of publication of the ECB's decision on rates, the activity of traders is extremely low.
The ECB for the time being continues to demonstrate a propensity for a soft monetary policy, thereby maintaining a positive dynamics of the EuroStoxx50 index. The index is in the upward channels on the 4-hour, daily, weekly charts above the key support levels of 3255.0 (Fibonacci level 50% correction to the global wave of index decline, which began in April 2015 and from the level of 3815.0 to the level of 2700.0, reached in February 2016) , 3200.0 (EMA200 on the weekly chart), 3170.0 (EMA200 on the daily chart).
Nevertheless, it is worth paying attention to the indicators OsMA and Stochastic on the 1-hour, 4-hour, daily charts, which turned to short positions, signaling a downward correction.
The objectives of this correction can be the support levels 3372.0, 3355.0 (EMA200 on the 1-hour chart and the bottom line of the uplink on the 4-hour chart). Breakdown of these levels will strengthen the downward dynamics of the EuroStoxx50 index, which may decrease in this case to support levels of 3295.0, 3255.0.
While the price is above the support levels of 3200.0, 3170.0, the upward dynamics of the EuroStoxx50 index is preserved. A return above 3400.0 will increase the likelihood of further growth in the index for the purpose of 3510.0 (November 2015 highs, the upper line of the uplink on the weekly chart).
Support levels: 3372.0, 3355.0, 3295.0, 3255.0, 3200.0, 3170.0
Resistance levels: 3389.0, 3400.0, 3410.0, 3500.0

Trading recommendations
Sell Stop 3369.0. Stop-Loss 3391.0. Take-Profit 3355.0, 3295.0, 3255.0, 3200.0, 3170.0
Buy Stop 3391.0. Stop-Loss 3369.0. Take-Profit 3400.0, 3410.0, 3500.0
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